Table 1 results of the uncertainty analysis
Change of indicators /% | Demand forecast | Transmission cost | Import cost | Discount rate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+ 5 | −5 | + 5 | −5 | + 5 | − 5 | + 5 | − 5 | |
The overall cost | 6.0 | −5.8 | 0.6 | −0.6 | 2.7 | −2.7 | −3.9 | 4.0 |
Cumulative investment on pipelines | −2.4 | 4.8 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 4.4 | −3.1 | 3.4 |
Cumulative new LNG import capacity | 11.3 | −13.9 | 2.5 | −1.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | −1.3 | 0 |
Cumulative storage capacity | 11.9 | −9.6 | 0.4 | −8.1 | −3.1 | −3.1 | −5.6 | 3.1 |