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Table 5 EU and Global Carbon budgets for different probabilities of meeting 1.5 °C goal

From: Shipping and the Paris climate agreement: a focus on committed emissions

GOAL

Global Carbon Budget (MtCO2)

1.5 °C Carbon Budget For ships in EU MRV (MtCO2)

EU MRV baseline committed emissions (MtCO2)

EU MRV baseline committed emissions as a % of Global Carbon Budget

<  1.5 °C 33% probability

700,000

2650

2260

85%

<  1.5 °C 50% probability

440,000

1670

2260

135%

<  1.5 °C 66% probability

280,000

1070

2260

212%